Either the server or the database is not connected!
Welcome to the Princeton election forecast
Thank you for participating in our election forecast study. This is part of a project being conducted by researchers at Princeton University.
Some of the events are of the form X AND Y. These occur only when both X and Y occur. Other events are of the form X OR Y. They occur only when one or both of X and Y occur. You will also encounter events of the form X SUPPOSING Y. In such cases, assume that Y occurs and then give your estimate of the chances that X also occurs based on this assumption.
As background information, we have included a map of results for the LAST presidential election in 2004 (red Republican, blue Democratic). You can consult it or ignore it, as you like.
It will be helpful if you complete all 28 questions, but your work will still be valuable to us if you choose to quit early.